(NEXSTAR) – Although the U.S. birth rate has fallen over the years, new figures from the National Center for Health Statistics on Tuesday show that America’s views on creation – or growth – may now change.
The latest available figures show that the birth rate in the US in the first half of 2021 decreased by 2%less than half as much as in the second half of 2020, and a return to the same percentage that was observed in the first half of 2020, according to NCHS, a branch of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
A closer look at previous figures shows that the decline in 2021 was mainly due to a 9% drop in January compared to 2020. The birth rate actually rose in April and June by 1% and 3% respectively.
“This difference between the patterns observed in the first six months of 2021 and previous years suggests that the magnitude of the downward trend observed in the second half of 2020 and January 2021 may have started to decline, and the decline in birth rates may return to the level before the pandemic, ”the report said on Tuesday.
The states in which the birth rate rose in the first half of 2021 were Connecticut, Idaho, New Hampshire and Tennessee. The largest decline was in Washington (-9%), followed by New Mexico (-5%), Arizona (-4%), California (-4%), Delaware (-4%), Maryland (-4%) and New York (-4%).
In the U.S. for the many years preceding the pandemic, birth rates have been falling annually; Census data show that there was an average of 0.39% annual decline in the period from 2000 to 2019. That number jumped to an average decline of 5% in the second half of 2020 and peaked in January 2021.
The report also found that in the first half of 2021, women of all races and Hispanic backgrounds saw an overall decline in fertility, with the smallest decline among white women (less than 1%) to the largest among Asian women (8%). .
What the new data say about the attitude of Americans to the birth of children after COVID-19 is not yet known, as we do not yet know what the birth rates are in the second half of 2021.
Census researchers note that even in the normal years before the U.S. pandemic, there is a seasonal pattern of births – rates increase in the spring to peak in the summer, then decline in the fall before reaching their lowest levels in the winter.
Dr Brady Hamilton, co-author of the report and NCHS statistician, told ABC News that the data to provide a clearer picture of American life during the pandemic after he married with polls that further explain people’s decisions.
Hamilton said the nearly 10 percent drop in birth rates in January 2021 from the previous year showed that women were not pregnant in March and April 2020, when cities across the country ordered the shutdown of COVID-19.
“When it comes to those numbers, there’s a lag of nine months, so the number of births you see is happening [in] the month reflects the actions of people nine months ago, ”he said. “So. [drop] it’s very interesting and we’ll look at it in more detail. “
As for the revival of the birth rate in the first half of 2021, the United States is not alone. Human fertility database Figures show that in March 2021, in 21 of the 30 countries they studied, more were born than in March 2020.